07.14.07

2007 NFL Preseason Fantasy Rankings – Wide Receivers

Posted in NFL at 2:50 am by fightingchancefantasy

Marvin Harrison, IND. If you are playing a keeper league, these standings might change a little, but for a year to year league it is still very tough to top Harrison. The guy is just a flat out professional. He runs routes with precision, has baby soft hands, and has a way of finding the end zone. And oh yeah, his quarterback is pretty good too. Marvin has had over 1,100 yards and 10 TDs for an astounding 8 straight seasons, how’s that for consistency? The emergence of Reggie Wayne has made it so Harrison doesn’t see as much attention from the defense as he used to as well. You can call him vanilla, but also be sure to call him the first receiver off the board on your draft day.

Torry Holt, STL. When new coach Scott Linehan came to the Rams and vowed to run a balanced offense, Holt probably fell down your board a little. But Torry proved in ’06 that when you are great, it doesn’t matter what the system is. Holt hasn’t been under 1,100 yards since his rookie year, and reached 10 TDs for the third time in four seasons. Holt is another guy that runs great routes, but he also still has the speed to catch the home run ball as well. The Rams lost Kevin Curtis, but brought in the underrated Drew Bennett to play opposite Holt and be another weapon that the defense must keep an eye on. They might not be “The Greatest Show on Turf” anymore, but the Rams still run an explosive offense, and Holt is the first receiver that QB Marc Bulger looks for. Those who like the glamour might pick other WRs before Holt, but if you pick him, you can pretty much write him in for 95-100 catches, 1,250 yards, and 10 TDs. Not too shabby.

Chad Johnson, CIN. “Ocho Cinco” grabbed the attention of the NFL world (and the disciplinary committee) with his wild TD celebrations again last season. Unfortunately for his owners, about half of Chad’s production came within 5 of the 16 games last year. In five games last year, “85” had 765 yards and 5 TDs. In five other games, he failed to reach 50 yards. The Cincinnati offense has many weapons for QB Carson Palmer to choose from, especially with the breakout of T.J. Housmandzadeh last season. However, Palmer still knows where his bread is buttered. Johnson has been over 1,250 yards the last four season, and you can almost guarantee he will be there again in ’07. However, he doesn’t quite find the end zone as much as the top two guys on this list, as he has reached double digits in scores only once in his career. There are slightly more consistent options on the board in front of Johnson, but you can do much worse than Chad. Plus, which WR keeps you the most entertained?

Steve Smith, CAR. Steve Smith came on to the fantasy radar back in 2003. His 88 catches and 1,110 yards signaled to fantasy players that this was a guy you wanted to have the following season. And then in Week 1, disaster struck. Smith ripped up his knee the first game and missed the entire season. Many were scared off given that Smith relied on his speed. But ever since he came back from that injury, there isn’t a cornerback that can cover this guy. He is one of the best at turning a 8-yard crossing route into a 89 yard TD. Smith’s speed is his greatest asset (well, it certainly isn’t his height), and if the Panthers can get some decent play out of the QB position, expect Smith to be back well over 100 catches and 13-15 TDs. He still doesn’t have much help from the rest of his offense to grab some attention away from him. Although John Fox is hoping that rookie Dwayne Jarrett turns out to be more explosive than Keyshawn Johnson.

Larry Fitzgerald, ARI. In just his third season in the NFL, Fitzgerald has shown plenty of signs that he is the next great WR. After a sparkling season in ’05 where he caught over 100 passes and 1,400 yards, Fitzgerald suffered through a disappointing season which saw a quarterback change, and a wicked hamstring injury that cost him a quarter of the season. However, Larry finished the year strong with four TDs in his last five games to quiet any talk of a lingering injury. At just 24 years old, Fitzgerald is the guy all keeper league owners are after. With another year of experience for him, Anquan Boldin, and Matt Leinart playing together, Fitzgerald takes one step closer to elite fantasy status. Think ahead of your competition, and get Larry Fitzgerald.

Make or Break Year – Randy Moss, NE. Once a borderline first round fantasy draft pick, Moss (and his image) went in the toilet when he went to Oakland. The Raiders motto of “Just Win Baby” didn’t seem to apply for the two years that Moss was there. Mix that with the personality that admittedly takes plays off when things aren’t going his way, and the last two years of Randy Moss’ career were nothing short of a nightmare. After scoring 90 TDs in 7 seasons with Minnesota, Moss only managed 11 in the last two years. It also didn’t help that he had the trio of Aaron Brooks, Marques Tuiasosopo, and Andrew Walter throwing the ball (all while they were running for their lives, thanks O-line!) Moss finally escaped from Alcatraz (where his best moment was exclaiming “straight cash homey” when asked how he paid his NFL fines) and was traded to New England in the offseason (much to the disgust of Brett Favre). His new head coach Bill Belichick is known for not taking a lot of showboating and garbage from his players, and dressing like a hobo. So the question becomes, will Moss put aside his circus act and actually TRY again? Or will Moss’ weekly antics cause Belichick to be reaching for the Tums on a daily basis? I’ll bet Moss reforms for a chance to win the Super Bowl, but I’m not betting my house on it.

Rising Star – Braylon Edwards, CLE. A lot of hype surrounded Edwards when the Brownies made him the third pick in the draft back in 2005, and boy did he disappoint. He was limited to 10 games his first year, and a laughable 31 catches. Last season Edwards was able to play the whole year, but still wasn’t a star. He was able to double his catches (63) and his TDs (6). However, he still had five games where he caught only two passes, and reached the 100-yard mark only three times. If the Browns can get some sort of running game going, and some consistent play from the quarterback (hopefully, Brady Quinn), Edwards can continue his upswing in production and get near the 80 catch, 1,000 yard, 8-10 TD level.

Falling Stock – Hines Ward, PIT. For years in Pittsburgh, if the ball was in the air in the general area of Hines Ward, you could count on him coming down with it. The only problem recently, is that the ball doesn’t go in the air as much in Pittsburgh, and Ward has started having some injury problems. His numbers have dropped from an impressive 112 catches, 1300+ yards in 2002, down to a less than stellar 74 catches and 975 yards last season. Some of this can be attributed to the inconsistency of Ben Roethlisberger the last couple of years, but some of it is also that Ward is now 31 years old and starting to lose a step. Ward should no longer be the best receiver on your team, but there still should be a place on your roster for him. Let’s see if we are still saying that two years from now.

Bounce Back Year – Santana Moss, WAS. CHis first year in D.C. Moss was fantasy gold, catching 84 passes for almost 1,500 yards and scored nine times. And then came 2006. Santana’s statistics fell like President Bush’s approval rating. He caught 30 less passes, his yardage was cut in half, and he only caught 6 TDs. It seems like every other year, Moss is a fantasy stud. His ‘03 and ‘05 seasons were equally good, while his ‘04 and ‘06 statistics were ugly enough to scare young children. Which brings us to ‘07. Looks like a great season is in store for Moss, don’t let the inexperience of QB Jason Campbell scare you away. I expect him to be comfortable under center after only a few games. Expect 75-85 catches, 1,100-1,200 yards, and 10+TDs.

3 Comments »

  1. OMAR said,

    No Lee Evans or that T.O. guy?
    I also wonder if this is the year that Reggie Wayne passes Harrison as the #1 guy in Indy.

  2. fightingchancefantasy said,

    As far as Evans goes, I don’t think he is ready to be called a top 5 receiver. I thought about him for the rising star category, but I was looking to find someone who hadn’t had a big 1,000+ yards 10 TD season yet. I wanted to dig a little deeper, although I’m pretty sure most people know who Braylon Edwards is.

    And T.O. was number 6 on my list. It was him or Fitzgerald, and I went with Larry for two reasons. One is his youth and amazing potential. The other is TO is always in the middle of controversy, and you never know when he might be suspended by the team or the NFL. Plus he’s got the dropsies to a certain degree and I believe he doesn’t play every down hard. He’s still a great receiver, but just missed my list.

  3. KJCity520 said,

    I agree with your top four in exactly that order. T.O. drops to many and who knows what else will happen. Harrison has to be number one just on his consistancy, same with Holt. I think that Evans is more the rising star, because Edwards cannot stay healthy. I think Chambers is down. I agree that Roethlesucker sucks and that pulls down Ward.


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