02.29.08

More 2008 MLB Fantasy Rankings–The Sleeper Team

Posted in MLB at 5:35 am by fightingchancefantasy

The guys who will exceed your expectations and turn late round picks into fantasy gems.

C—J.R. Towles, HOU—Towles logged some pretty impressive numbers for a catchertowles.jpeg during his short stay in the minor leagues, including a .317 average with 12 jacks, 55 ribbies, and 13 steals in just 81 games in 2006. Towles needs to surpass 125-year veteran Brad Ausmus on the depth chart, which shouldn’t be too difficult, as Ausmus hasn’t topped a .260 batting average or six homers in seven years. If he is given the chance to get a full-time job behind the plate in Houston, this rookie could log some Russell Martin-like numbers.

1B—Ryan Garko, CLE—Although Cleveland seems to want to experiment with their first baseman (Victor Martinez and Travis Hafner), it is obvious that their best option is Garko. Given the lion’s share of the starts at first in ’07, Garko did more than hold his own. He hit a respectable .289 with 21 HRs and 61 RBI in 138 games. He is at that magical fantasy age of 27, and in that potent Indians lineup, the stars are aligned for Garko to take that next step up in product to the 25-30 HR, 80-95 RBI level.

2B—Jayson Nix, COL—There is a big audition going on at second base in Colorado between Nix, Ian Stewart, Clint Barmes, and Marcus Giles. Based on his defense (and the endorsement of SS Troy Tulowitzki), it appears that as of now Nix has the leg up on his competition. However, if you look at his minor league numbers, offensively Nix is no slouch. In 124 games at AAA Colorado Springs last season, Nix hit .292 with 11 HRs, 58 RBI, and 24 steals. If he wins the job, and can come close to duplicating those numbers over a full season, you could have a steal in the last couple rounds.


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02.28.08

More 2008 Fantasy Rankings–The All Breakout Team

Posted in MLB, Uncategorized at 4:47 am by fightingchancefantasy

All Breakout Team
The guys who have the best chance of far surpassing last year’s numbers

C-Jarrod Saltalamacchia, TEX—The Rangers knew what they were getting when they brought in Saltalamacchia as the key part of the Mark Teixeira trade. After some internal discussion on where he would play, it has been settled that “Salty” will spend at least this season behind the plate. You can expect that starting this year that he will start to show his enormous potential, and not the modest 33 RBI in nearly 100 games that he played last year.

1B—Billy Butler, KC—It is the power numbers that we expect to see from Butler this year. In his only 57 games he played at AAA last year, he blasted 13 HRs, and two years prior he tortured single A pitching with 25 homers in just 92 games. Obviously, the quality of pitching improves dramatically once you reach the show, but expect Butler to start to flex those muscles this year and approach 25+ home runs and a .300+ average.

2B—Howie Kendrick, LAA—Kendrick has a had run of bad luck with injuries in his first two professional seasons, and if he can avoid that this season he should start to show what he is really capable of. The guy was a career .359 hitter in his minor league career, and has been hyped as a batting champion of the future. Look for him to push his average around the .330 mark and start to show some pop in his bat to the tune of around 20 HRs. And although he isn’t the fastest guy around, Kendrick is a smart base runner, who could steal 10-15 bases. It’s Howie’s breakout season!

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02.23.08

More 2008 MLB Fantasy Rankings–Rise to Stardom (Pitchers)

Posted in MLB, Pitching at 11:58 pm by fightingchancefantasy

Continuing the series of guys who will rise to superstardom, we present the pitchers who will exceed expectations, even after being successful in 2007. They will not be among the first group of pitchers taken, but they will perform similar to that group.

Justin Verlander—DET—It is hard to go too much farther up from where Verlander already has been. He was 11-2 in his only 20 starts in the minor leagues, and has now won 35 games in just two full major league seasons. However, this season, I expect two things to increase in Verlander’s game. 20 wins are well within his grasp. He has a potent offensive lineup, and his division promises multiple starts against the Royals, White Sox, and Twins, all who figure to struggle this season. You can expect his ERA to drop to the low end of the 3.00, and his strikeouts to finally get back to where they were while he was in the minors. If he is able to top 200 innings again this season, expect his strikeouts to top the 200 mark.

Oliver Perez—NYM—Remember 2004? That’s where Perez will be again this year, except for an increase in wins. Perez has always had electric stuff, and in his first full season with the Mets he showed some of what made him someone nobody wanted to face that season. The Mets are going to make up for last season’s horrendous collapse and capture the NL East title this year, and with the addition of Johan Santana, some of the pressure is off of Perez. It is safe to expect 17-20 wins, a 3.10 ERA, and 185-200 K’s.

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More 2008 MLB Fantasy Rankings–Rise to Stardom (Batters)

Posted in MLB at 9:21 pm by fightingchancefantasy

These are the guys who had very solid campaigns in 2007, who will take the next step and join the elite during 2008. You won’t have to draft these guys in the first two rounds of your draft, but you should expect 1st to 2nd round performance from them.

BJ Upton, 2B/CF—TB—Upton will be playing centerfield for the Rays, but in many of your leagues he will still qualify at 2B, based on the 48 games he played there last season. He struggled when given his first chance in the big leagues in 2006, but last year he started to realize all that potential we have been reading about for years. Although he played only 129 games, Upton went 20-20 and even hit .300. Still only 23, this is the year Upton will take his numbers even higher. Expect Upton to remain close to his same average and his power numbers to increase to near 30. It is his stolen base numbers that are going to rise sharply. In the minors Upton stole 40+ bases on two separate occasions, both while playing less than a full season. Realistic expectations for BJ this season are .285/27/90/55 steals, but he still needs to cut down on the strikeouts.

Curtis Granderson, CF—DET—Granderson was one of the most improved players in the league, when he joined exclusive company in 2007, the 20 double, 20 triple, 20 HR, 20 steal club, which has only four members. Granderson is another young hitter who can take his numbers to the stratosphere if he can improve his eye at the plate some. He has struck out over 300 times in the past two seasons, however, you still can’t ignore his other impressive numbers. Based on his minor league numbers and the way his numbers have progressed, you can expect another huge years from the Tigers centerfielder. He will help you in every single fantasy category, scoring 100+ runs, 200 hits, 25-30 HRs, 85 RBI, and 30-35 steals in a potent Tigers offense.

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02.21.08

Top 10 American League Rookies and Prospects

Posted in MLB at 5:04 am by fightingchancefantasy

1. Evan Longoria, TB—3B—Let’s get the funny stuff out of the way quick. Ha, ha, his name is really close to Eva Longoria. Ok, now that is over, Longoria is going to be a real stud. Even though publicly they state different, the Rays have paved the way for him to take over the starting third base job this season. Barring a complete collapse during the spring, Evan will be manning the hot corner in Tampa this year. He had an impressive two-year run through the Rays minor league system, finishing with a 26 HR, 95 RBI season between AA and AAA in 2007. Longoria also hits for a pretty good average, however, doesn’t really steal bases. He is one prospect that can definitely help your fantasy team this season, worth a pick in the middle to late rounds.

2. Clay Buchholz, BOS—SP—One of the next really special pitchers to come to the majors, Buchholz showed the world what he was capable of when he no hit the Orioles in just his second minor league start. Buchholz has a tremendous fastball to go with a knee-buckling change and a nasty curve. With Curt Schilling’s future in question due to injury, Clay should be a part of the Red Sox five-man rotation for at least the first half of the year, and if he performs like he’s capable of, he will be a staple at the top of the rotation for years to come. Buchholz definitely projects as a number one type starter, and if you are in a keeper league and he is still available, do yourself a favor and grab him quickly.

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02.20.08

Top 10 National League Rookies and Prospects

Posted in MLB at 4:17 am by fightingchancefantasy

1. Jay Bruce—CIN—The crown jewel of the Reds’ minor league system, Bruce has a real shot to open the season in CF for Cincinnati. Bruce made a stop at all three levels of the minors last year, and excelled at each one. For the season he hit roughly .319, 26 HRs and 89 RBI on his way to Minor League Player of the Year. The Reds traded last year’s feel good story Josh Hamilton away for some pitching help seemingly to open up the spot for Bruce in 2008. There have been some rumors floating around that Cincinnati has been in contact with some veterans to take the center field spot, but if they are smart they will allow the future of their franchise to begin now. Keep a watchful eye on this situation.

2. Justin Upton—ARI—Upton has some serious talent. A former number one overall pick, he hit the major leagues at just 19 And although he struggled badly, the Diamondbacks saw enough to trade Carlos Quentin away and hand the RF job to Upton. He hits for average, he hits home runs, he steals bases, he slices, he dices, he does it all. If you are in a keeper league, grab him early because he is a special talent. In year to year leagues, don’t stretch too quickly for him, chances are he won’t reach his enormous potential this year. Expect .300, 20 bombs, 85 RBI, and 35 steals.

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02.19.08

Apologies, Injuries, and Position Battles

Posted in MLB at 4:04 am by fightingchancefantasy

It was a day of “I’m sorry’s” for a couple of pitchers named in the Mitchell Report today.  Andy Pettitte sat in front of a sea of reporters, as well as Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, and Jorge Posada and poured out an apology.  Pettitte appeared to be quite up front and frank, and answered every question asked of him.  Given his reputation, you can’t help but believe what he says.  Pettitte described himself as stupid and desperate.  He also warned “If you are currently doing anything, after what you see what I’ve been through and what Roger (Clemens) has been through, you better clean yourself up quick.”  In theory, that makes perfect sense, but history has proven that most athletes feel they are invincible and can never be caught. click here for the rest!

02.18.08

Team by Team Fantasy Closer Report–National League

Posted in Closers, MLB, National League at 5:22 am by fightingchancefantasy

The “Chance of losing job” scale is from 1 to 5, with one being nearly impossible to five being just keeping the seat warm

NL East

New York Mets—Billy Wagner—Once one of the most feared closers in the game, Wagner becomes a little more ordinary every year. He still strikes out more than a batter an inning, but his ERA continues to rise, and his 34 saves last year were his lowest in a full season since the late 90s. The Mets will win a lot of games this year, so the opportunities should be there, but Wagner has slipped out of the top ten at his position.
Chance of losing job: 2
Next in line: Aaron Heilman

Philadelphia Phillies—Brad Lidge—Another guy who used to strike fear into hitters, Lidge has been a train wreck the past couple years. Since he gave up that home run in the playoffs to Albert Pujols, Lidge has lost his dominance, and he was even removed from the closer’s role last year. He will probably have a pretty long leash in Phlly, but if those fans get on him, we will see how strong he really is.
Chance of losing job: 3
Next in line: Tom Gordon
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02.17.08

Team by Team Fantasy Closer Report–American League

Posted in American League, Closers, MLB at 4:47 am by fightingchancefantasy

Chance of losing job scale is 1-5 with 1 being almost impossible, to 5 being just keeping the seat warm.

AL East
Boston Red Sox—Jonathan Papelbon
—One of the top closers in baseball, seems to have gotten past his arm issues of previous years. Strikes out batters at a crazy rate.
Chance of losing his job: 1
Next in line: Hideki Okajima

New York Yankees—Mariano Rivera—Quite possibly the best closer of all times. Mo has be breaking bats and making people look silly for better than a decade. He’s starting to get hit more, but this job is his until he is ready to walk away.
Chance of losing his job: 1
Next in line: Joba Chamberlain
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02.16.08

2008 MLB Fantasy Rankings–Closers

Posted in American League, Closers, MLB, National League, Positional Rankings at 2:29 pm by fightingchancefantasy

  1. Francisco Rodriguez—LAA—“K-Rod” has been blowing hitters away since hekrod.jpg came into the league, and last year was no exception. He has had 40+ saves for the last three seasons, while nearing 100 K’s in each of those years. His funky delivery makes you think he is either going to blow out his elbow, or take a come backer in the head. However, he has avoided both thus far. Although he is having contract extension issues with the team, I don’t see that as being a significant enough of a distraction to affect Rodriguez numbers. Anaheim will have one of the best records in the AL again this year, so expect another 40 saves for K-Rod in ’08.
  2. J.J. Putz—SEA—Putz was sitting on three saves after the first month of the season, but then went on an incredible tear to finish the season with 40, bettering his impressive first year as the Mariners closer. Putz was nearly unhittable as he finished with a 1.38 ERA and microscopic .70 WHIP. I’m not sure where all this is coming from, as he was relatively unknown two seasons ago. The Mariners should compete, and Putz has put two good season together, so why not a third. Now, if he could just change that last name. click here for the rest!

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